HVAC Services Market Size, Share & Forecast 2025-2035 | Analysis by Service Type (Retrofit, IoT Integration), System Type (Integrated), End-User & Geography

The HVAC Services Market was valued at USD 66.8 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 6.4% from 2025 to 2035, reaching USD 130.7 billion by 2035.

Some of the key factors driving the growth of the HVAC services market include the rising demand for energy-efficient HVAC systems, growing focus on indoor air quality, growing commercial & residential construction, mandatory maintenance regulations, and integration of IoT & smart HVAC technologies. However, the challenges the market faces include compliance with stringent energy efficiency standards (e.g., ASHRAE, SEER ratings, MEPS), shortage of skilled technicians, and fluctuations in seasonal demand. Additionally, opportunities in emerging markets, retrofitting and upgrading services for aging infrastructure, integration with building automation systems, and preventive maintenance service contracts provide immense growth opportunities for players operating in this market. The use of predictive maintenance with AI and machine learning, remote monitoring and diagnostic services, sustainability and green HVAC solutions, and mobile service management applications is becoming an important trend in this market.

HVAC Services Market Trends and Insights

Market Drivers

Rising Demand for Energy-Efficient HVAC Systems

The demand for HVAC service upgrades is growing rapidly due to a greater emphasis on energy efficiency and sustainability. Modern building operators focus on lowering operational costs and reducing environmental impact through better HVAC system performance. This drives the need for energy-efficient retrofit services, improved control systems, and effective maintenance programs. The HVAC services market benefits as operators aim for significant energy savings and compliance with changing environmental regulations. 

The rise of green building certifications and sustainability efforts, along with increasing energy costs and greater environmental awareness, supports this demand. Energy-efficient HVAC services, which offer smart controls, advanced diagnostics, system optimization, and preventive maintenance programs, appeal to building owners who value operational efficiency and environmental responsibility. 

The sustainable building market has gained traction in recent years. Facility managers are seeking service solutions that cut energy use, lower environmental impact, and meet changing efficiency standards for performance optimization and cost savings.

Increasing Focus on Indoor Air Quality

According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), indoor air can be 2–5 times more polluted than outdoor air, and Americans spend 90% of their time indoors. HVAC service providers face higher demand for indoor air quality solutions. This is due to a growing awareness of health and wellness in indoor spaces. The emphasis on air quality includes better filtration systems, improved ventilation, and air purification services, which enhance occupant health, productivity, and comfort. Research indicates that professional HVAC services can lead to better indoor air quality because of proper system maintenance, advanced filtration technologies, and thorough air quality monitoring. 

Demand is rising for advanced ventilation solutions (e.g., ERVs, HRVs) that bring in filtered fresh air while conserving energy. Older systems are being replaced or retrofitted to meet ASHRAE 62.1 standards for ventilation. Professional maintenance keeps systems efficient while improving air quality and health benefits. This makes them especially appealing to commercial buildings, healthcare facilities, and residential customers. HVAC service providers are expanding offerings to include IAQ audits, smart sensor integration, and wellness-focused building upgrades. 

Growth in Commercial and Residential Construction 

By 2030, global construction spending is projected to reach $15.5 trillion, with significant activity in Asia-Pacific, North America, and the Middle East (Source: Oxford Economics). The HVAC services segment is growing faster as new projects require full installation, commissioning, and ongoing maintenance services. More buildings mean more long-term service contracts for routine maintenance, filter replacements, system diagnostics, and repairs.

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, new private residential construction spending in the U.S. exceeded $900 billion in 2024, a strong indicator of HVAC installation growth. The construction market is driven by urbanization, population growth, infrastructure development, and rising demand for modern buildings with advanced HVAC systems. HVAC services are recognized as vital infrastructure with many operational benefits, positioning the sector to capture a large share of this expanding construction market. 

Additionally, building codes and regulations increasingly emphasize modern HVAC standards for their energy efficiency and indoor air quality benefits. The push toward net-zero buildings further fuels HVAC system upgrades, especially in government and institutional buildings. This further boosts the demand for professional HVAC installation and maintenance services.

Market Segmentation Analysis

By Type

Based on type, the HVAC services market is segmented into installation & system integration, maintenance & repair, upgrade/replacement, energy-efficiency & retrofit, controls upgrade & integration, and consulting & other services.

In 2025, the maintenance & repair segment is expected to account for the largest share of the market. The ongoing need for HVAC system upkeep, increased frequency of extreme climate events, adoption of smart and IoT-enabled HVAC systems, rising awareness of indoor air quality (IAQ), and expansion of residential and commercial buildings are some of the factors driving the growth of this segment.

However, the energy efficiency and retrofit segment is predicted to show the highest growth rate during the period from 2025 to 2035. This growth is fueled by the increasing emphasis on sustainability, rising energy costs, government support for energy-efficient upgrades, and a heightened awareness of environmental concerns.

By System Type

Based on system type, the HVAC services market is segmented into heating systems, ventilation systems, air conditioning systems, integrated HVAC systems, specialty systems, and others. In 2025, the integrated HVAC systems segment is expected to account for the largest market share due to overall service demands, the complex maintenance requirements of these systems, and the focus on system optimization and performance.  On the other hand, the air conditioning systems segment is expected to witness notable growth during the forecast period, driven by higher cooling needs, the effects of climate change, increasing temperatures, and more commercial air conditioning installations.

By End User

Based on end user, the HVAC services market is segmented into residential, commercial, industrial, and institutional. The commercial segment is poised to account for the largest share of the market in 2025. This is due to the complex nature of commercial HVAC systems, the need to meet regulations, and the requirement for professional maintenance services.

Regional Market Analysis

Based on geography, the HVAC services market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa. In 2025, the North American region is expected to account for the largest market for HVAC services. Factors such as the aging infrastructure that needs maintenance, increased focus on energy efficiency, commercial construction, and growing demand for indoor air quality services are driving the growth of this regional segment. North America's leadership in HVAC services is also supported by major service providers, established industry standards, and a solid regulatory framework that backs professional service needs. 

On the other hand, Asia-Pacific is projected to grow at the highest CAGR during the forecast period. This growth is fueled by rapid urbanization, more construction activity, rising disposable incomes, greater awareness of indoor air quality, and expanding commercial infrastructure development.

Competitive Landscape

The HVAC services market consists of large service providers, specialized HVAC contractors, equipment manufacturers with service divisions, and regional service companies. Some leading players in the global HVAC services market are EMCOR Group Inc., Johnson Controls International plc, Comfort Systems USA Inc., Trane Technologies plc, Carrier Global Corporation, ABM Industries Incorporated, Honeywell International Inc., Daikin Industries Ltd., Lennox International Inc., Southland Industries, Service Logic Corporation, Siemens AG (Building Technologies), Schneider Electric SE, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, and Rheem Manufacturing Company. These companies are concentrating on strategies like developing digital service platforms, integrating IoT, improving predictive maintenance, offering energy efficiency solutions, and expanding geographically to strengthen their position in the market.

HVAC Services Market Research Summary

Key Questions Answered in the Report: