Next™ BriefAgent Interoperability Protocols and the Race for Open Standards
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Meticulous Next™Information and Communications TechnologyNov 2026110 ppMRN-1635

Agent interoperability protocols Market Outlook 2026–2033: Growth Drivers, Key Companies, Strategic Developments & Adoption Forecast — A Meticulous Next™ Foresight Brief

Brief ID: MRN-1635Format: PDF + Summary DeckDelivery: InstantHorizon: 7-yr horizonSignal: Accelerating
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Adoption maturity (indexed)
Mainstream inflection: ~2030
Horizon: 2026–2033 · Signal: Accelerating
7 yrs
Forward horizon
~2030
Mainstream inflection
Accelerating
Signal strength

What This Brief Covers

This Meticulous Next™ brief examines agent interoperability protocols, the open standards that let AI agents built by different vendors discover each other, prove who they are and hand work to one another. It tests how far open protocols become the common language of multi-agent systems by 2033, and what that means for cloud vendors, software providers, security teams and the enterprises that run agents across company boundaries.

The standards have moved under neutral governance. Google introduced the Agent2Agent protocol on 9 April 2025 and transferred it, with its specification and software development kits, to the Linux Foundation on 23 June 2025, when more than 100 technology companies had announced support. The conclusion is that a protocol started by one cloud vendor is now run as a shared project, which lowers the risk for rivals that build on it.

Support keeps broadening. Microsoft stated in May 2025 that it planned to support the protocol in its AI platforms, AWS, Cisco, Salesforce and SAP joined the project, and the protocol site now lists more than 170 community partners and six official software development kits. The conclusion is that the largest platform vendors have agreed to speak the same language, so the contest has moved from whether a standard exists to which layers each standard covers.

Several efforts run in parallel. AGNTCY, started by Cisco, launched under the Linux Foundation in July 2025 with more than 65 companies and covers discovery, identity, secure messaging and observability, while the Agentic AI Foundation, announced on 9 December 2025, brought the model context protocol, goose and AGENTS.md together and had more than 170 members by April 2026. The conclusion is that tool access, agent to agent calls, identity and observability are being standardised as separate layers that need to fit together.

Gaps remain in identity, trust and governance. A protocol can carry a request between agents, but it does not decide whether the receiving agent may act, who is liable for the result or how the call is audited. The conclusion is that gateways, registries, identity services and audit tools become the paid part of the market, while the protocols themselves stay free.

The brief treats agent interoperability protocols as an accelerating signal with a seven year horizon to 2033. It identifies which vendors, platforms and security providers capture value as agents begin to work across company boundaries. It is a focused 110-page decision brief that presents an indicative trajectory rather than a segmented market model.

Brief Snapshot
ParameterDetails
Forward horizon2026–2033 (7 years)
Emerging forceAgent-to-agent protocols
Technology readinessAgent to agent messaging in early production; cross-company identity, registries and audit in early use
Indicative market size & forecastThe agent interoperability protocols market, covering paid gateways, registries, discovery and identity services, observability tools and integration services that let AI agents from different vendors find, authenticate and work with each other across protocols such as Agent2Agent, and excluding the AI models themselves, tool connection servers for single agents, agent development frameworks and internally built connectors that carry no vendor spend, is valued at USD 0.6–0.9 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 5.72–8.58 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 38%
Mainstream inflection~2030, when agents from different vendors routinely complete cross-company workflows with standard identity, discovery and audit
Signal strengthMore than 170 community partners for Agent2Agent and more than 170 members of the Agentic AI Foundation by April 2026
Primary beneficiariesCloud and platform vendors with registries and gateways; identity and security providers; enterprise software vendors with agents that other agents call
Brief length / format110 pages · PDF + executive summary deck · instant delivery

Understanding the Technology

A protocol lets one agent ask another to do work. Agent2Agent describes an agent through a card that states what it can do and how to reach it, then lets a client agent send tasks, receive progress updates and collect results without seeing the memory, tools or logic of the other agent. The conclusion is that a company can offer an agent as a service to partners without exposing how it works, which is what makes cross-company use possible.

The standards cover different layers. The model context protocol connects an agent to tools and data, Agent2Agent connects agents to each other, and the AGNTCY project covers discovery, identity, secure messaging and observability. The conclusion is that these standards complement more than compete, and buyers need products that join the layers rather than a single winner.

Security rests on existing web standards. Agent2Agent supports TLS, JSON web tokens and OpenID Connect, and signed agent cards were added in a later version of the specification, with the protocol reaching version 1.0 and gRPC support in the SDKs. The conclusion is that identity can build on tools that enterprises already run, although rules for delegation between agents of different companies are still being written.

Neutral governance reduces the risk of building. The Agentic AI Foundation is a directed fund under the Linux Foundation, with members paying tiered dues and nominating representatives to technical steering committees, and no single member has unilateral say over direction. The conclusion is that enterprises can commit to a protocol for years without depending on one vendor, which supports multi-year agent programmes.

The limits are weak cross-company trust rules, overlapping standards and the cost of testing agents from many vendors against each other. The brief tests each limit against the evidence to 2033.

Market Outlook

The agent interoperability protocols market, covering paid gateways, registries, discovery and identity services, observability tools and integration services that let AI agents from different vendors find, authenticate and work with each other across protocols such as Agent2Agent, and excluding the AI models themselves, tool connection servers for single agents, agent development frameworks and internally built connectors that carry no vendor spend, is valued at USD 0.6–0.9 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 5.72–8.58 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 38%.

The 2026 base rests on gateway, registry, identity, observability and integration spending by cloud providers, software vendors and early enterprise programmes. Growth then follows the number of agents that call agents from other vendors, the number of companies that publish agents to partners and the share of enterprises that buy trust and audit controls rather than build them.

The forecast is sensitive to the pace of enterprise agent adoption, the fit between competing standards and the arrival of liability and audit rules for agent actions.

Scenarios

The base case assumes steady growth in agent programmes with standards that fit together, bringing the inflection to about 2030 and a 2033 value near the middle of the range. An accelerated case assumes fast adoption of agents across companies and early rules on delegation and audit, moving the inflection to 2029 and lifting the 2033 value to the top of the range. A delayed case assumes split standards or a trust failure between agents that slows cross-company use, moving the inflection to 2032 and holding growth at the bottom of the range.

Factors Behind Growth

Growth drivers

  • Enterprise need for agents from different vendors to work together.
  • Support from every large cloud and software platform.
  • Neutral governance under the Linux Foundation.
  • Falling cost of building and testing agent connections.

Enablers

  • Official software development kits in several languages.
  • Agent cards, registries and discovery services.
  • Identity based on OpenID Connect and signed credentials.
  • Gateway, observability and audit products.

Restraints and barriers

  • Weak rules for trust and liability between companies.
  • Overlapping standards and version changes.
  • Cost of testing and governing many agents.
  • Security risks from agents that act on delegated authority.

The Forces at Play

The direction of agent interoperability protocols is set by enterprise need for agents from different vendors to work together, support from every large cloud and software platform, neutral governance, the maturity of identity and audit controls and the readiness of software vendors to publish agents that others can call.

Adoption Outlook

How the shift is likely to unfold across three time horizons.

Near term2026–2028
Standards settle, pilots multiply

Agent2Agent, AGNTCY and the model context protocol settle into complementary layers, and early adopters run agent networks inside single companies and with close partners.

Mid term2028–2030
Cross-company agents become normal

Registries, identity and audit services make it routine for agents from different vendors to complete workflows across company boundaries.

Long term2030–2033
Open standards under agent traffic

Open protocols carry most agent to agent traffic, and value shifts to trust, identity, audit and the agents that other agents call.

Latest Strategic Developments

DateDevelopmentTypeSignificance
Apr 2025Google introduces the Agent2Agent protocol on 9 April, with about 50 launch partnersStandardShows the start of an open standard for agents from different vendors
May 2025Microsoft states on 7 May that it plans to support the protocol in its AI platformsAdoptionShows the largest rival of the originator backing the standard
Jun 2025Google transfers the protocol, specification and software development kits to the Linux Foundation on 23 June, with more than 100 companies announcing supportGovernanceShows the standard moving to vendor-neutral governance
Jul 2025AGNTCY launches under the Linux Foundation with more than 65 companies, covering discovery, identity, secure messaging and observabilityEcosystemShows the layers around agent calls being standardised
Dec 2025The Linux Foundation announces the Agentic AI Foundation on 9 December, with the model context protocol, goose and AGENTS.md as founding projectsGovernanceShows the main agent standards gathering under one foundation
Apr 2026The Agentic AI Foundation reports more than 170 member organisations and more than 110 million monthly SDK downloads for the model context protocolEcosystemShows member growth and developer use at a scale that sustains the standards

Key Players & Competitive Landscape

The key participants in agent interoperability protocols and the open standards for agent communication include Alphabet Inc., Microsoft Corporation, Amazon Web Services, Inc., Cisco Systems, Inc., Salesforce, Inc., SAP SE, International Business Machines Corporation, Oracle Corporation, ServiceNow, Inc., Anthropic PBC, OpenAI, Inc., Block, Inc., Dell Technologies Inc., Workday, Inc., Atlassian Corporation, Okta, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc., Kong Inc., LangChain, Inc., The Linux Foundation, Cloudflare, Inc., Bloomberg L.P., Stripe, Inc., Datadog, Inc., Elastic N.V., Zapier, Inc., Workato, Inc., CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc., Zscaler, Inc., Databricks, Inc., Snowflake Inc., Hugging Face, Inc., CrewAI, Inc., Accenture plc, Infosys Limited, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Wipro Limited, Capgemini SE, Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation, the Agentic AI Foundation and the AGNTCY project.

The brief profiles representative participants in each archetype and assesses which are positioned to lead as open protocols become the common language of multi-agent systems.

Alphabet Inc., Microsoft Corporation and Amazon Web Services, Inc. lead among cloud platforms that host and register agents, Cisco Systems, Inc., Okta, Inc. and Palo Alto Networks, Inc. lead among providers building identity, security and observability, and Salesforce, Inc., SAP SE and ServiceNow, Inc. lead among software vendors whose agents other agents will call. Competitive intensity is rising as cloud providers, security vendors and start-ups all move into the registry and gateway layer.

ArchetypeRepresentative playersPositionOutlook
Cloud and platform vendorsAlphabet Inc., Microsoft Corporation, Amazon Web Services, Inc., Oracle Corporation, International Business Machines Corporation, Dell Technologies Inc., Cloudflare, Inc.Agent hosting, registries and gatewaysCarry hosting, discovery and version updates for agents
Enterprise software vendorsSalesforce, Inc., SAP SE, ServiceNow, Inc., Workday, Inc., Atlassian Corporation, Stripe, Inc., Datadog, Inc., Elastic N.V.Agents that other agents callExpose products as agents and keep customers in their platforms
Model and agent buildersAnthropic PBC, OpenAI, Inc., Block, Inc., LangChain, Inc., CrewAI, Inc., Hugging Face, Inc., Databricks, Inc., Snowflake Inc.Models, frameworks and agent toolkitsCreate demand for agent to agent calls and set client behaviour
Identity, security and observability providersCisco Systems, Inc., Okta, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc., Kong Inc., CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc., Zscaler, Inc.Identity, gateways, policy and auditMake cross-company agent calls safe and auditable
Integrators and automation platformsAccenture plc, Infosys Limited, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Wipro Limited, Capgemini SE, Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation, Zapier, Inc., Workato, Inc.Integration services and workflow connectorsConnect agents from many vendors for enterprises that do not build their own
Standards bodiesThe Linux Foundation, Agentic AI Foundation, AGNTCY project, Bloomberg L.P.Governance and specificationsSet neutral rules and publish the specifications

Where value migrates.

In 2026 value sits with cloud platforms and enterprise software vendors that host agents and with model builders that create demand, while the protocols are free and most connections are built in house. By 2030 it moves toward registry, identity, gateway and audit providers, because enterprises will not let agents from other companies act on their systems without trust controls. By 2033 it settles with the vendors that own the agents, data and actions that others call, where open protocols are a standard layer and margin comes from trusted access and results. Margins hold for platforms with registries, identity providers with large customer bases and software vendors with widely used agents, and narrow for builders of single point connectors that platform releases replace.

Who Will Win — and Why

The archetypes best positioned to capture value as the shift matures.

Cloud and platform vendors with registries and gateways

Hosting, discovery and version management are costly to run, so companies pay platforms to carry them, which turns free protocols into recurring revenue.

Identity and security providers

Agents that act across company boundaries need proof of identity, permissions and audit, and providers that already control access are placed to sell them.

Enterprise software vendors with widely used agents

Vendors with large user bases control the actions that other agents can request, and their agents keep users inside their products.

Regulatory Landscape

JurisdictionMilestoneIndicative timingEffect on adoption
Linux Foundation governance of Agent2AgentGoogle transferred the protocol, specification and SDKs to the Linux FoundationJun 2025Gives buyers a neutral, long-lived standard
AGNTCY under the Linux FoundationThe project launched with more than 65 companies for discovery, identity, secure messaging and observabilityJul 2025Standardises the layers around agent calls
Agentic AI FoundationA directed fund under the Linux Foundation brought the model context protocol, goose and AGENTS.md togetherDec 2025Gathers the main agent standards under one foundation
Foundation project lifecycle policyThe technical steering committee approved a three stage lifecycle of growth, impact and emeritus projects2026Sets how projects mature and retire
Web identity standardsAgent2Agent relies on TLS, JSON web tokens and OpenID Connect, with signed agent cards2025–2026Sets the identity baseline that gateways and registries build on

Investment Signals

More than 170 community partners for Agent2Agent, more than 170 members of the Agentic AI Foundation, support from every large cloud and a move to neutral governance support growth, while weak cross-company trust rules, overlapping standards and the cost of governing many agents hold back the pace.

A trust failure between agents of different companies, a split between standards backed by large vendors or a slowdown in enterprise agent programmes could slow progress. The brief therefore tracks four indicators: the number of published agents and registered agent cards, the share of agent traffic that crosses company boundaries, the pace of specification changes and the number of reported security incidents involving delegated agents.

Standards settling first, then cross-company agents as a normal part of workflows, then open protocols as a standard layer under agent traffic is the expected order of change.

Questions This Brief Answers

01What are agent interoperability protocols, and how do they differ from the protocols that connect agents to tools?
02What is the market size in 2026, and what is the forecast to 2033?
03Which standards and governance models are advancing?
04What factors are driving growth, and what barriers remain?
05Which key participants are active, and which archetypes are positioned to win?
06What are the latest developments?
07How will identity, trust and governance shape the market between 2026 and 2033?
08What should cloud vendors, software providers, security teams and enterprises do now?

Strategic Implications

  • Cloud providers and platform vendors: offer agent registries, discovery and gateways with identity, logging and automatic version updates, since the specifications keep changing.
  • Software vendors: publish agents with scoped permissions and clear terms of use, because customers will ask other agents to work with your products with or without your help.
  • Security and identity teams: build trust, delegation and audit controls for agent calls across companies now, and treat agent cards and remote agent responses as untrusted input.
  • Investors: favour platforms with registries, identity providers with large customer bases and software vendors with widely used agents over builders of single connectors.
  • Regulators and standards bodies: define identity, liability and audit expectations for agent actions so that regulated sectors can adopt open agent protocols.
Analyst Perspective

"Agents will talk to each other whether or not the rules are ready. The next seven years decide who sets the terms of trust."

Lead Foresight Analyst
Technology & ICT · Meticulous Next™

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